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British Political Economy

Do you have faith in Tony Blair? Do you believe the Conservatives are capable of beating New Labour? What can the Liberal Democrats offer?

Note that various articles on the housing markets of the UK, USA and Australia are recorded at House Price Crash Discussion Forums
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Lord Byron
 24 Jul '17  08:28 : 0 recs

things do change, why may never be known but they do change,
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Slightly Optimistic
 23 Jul '17  09:50 : 0 recs

Interesting to hear the International Trade Secretary suggest today on the BBC's Andrew Marr programme that the European Union thinks it is operating in a global trade framework that will stay the same forever.

Hopefully though when the French president says he will be tough over Brexit, he will - together with the German Chancellor - be promoting the future of the EU.
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Slightly Optimistic
 22 Jul '17  08:33 : 0 recs

"Global Britain" is said to be the aim of the UK's PM.

The Brexit negotiations, now apparently to entertain a transition deal, may help to shape the European Union of the future.

Global finance surely needs to be controlled by strong cross-border politics - a fundamental that has been lacking so far in the EU.
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Slightly Optimistic
 17 Jul '17  19:55 : 0 recs

Re below. A recent study discovered that countries desperately wanted trade relations with the EU as a priority. Wasn't the UK lucky to have had this honour, now being thrown away?

Many non-European countries are reassessing their views of the EU against a background of Trumpism, populism, and globalization
All thirteen non-European countries that contributed to the series—Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, India, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, and the United States—put trade as the number one priority in relations with the EU.
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Lord Byron
 15 Jul '17  17:47 : 0 recs

Page 11 of todays times, old chap.
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Slightly Optimistic
 14 Jul '17  14:59 : 0 recs

Global Perceptions of Europe
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Lord Byron
 14 Jul '17  08:19 : 0 recs : edited 1 time : last edit 14 Jul '17  08:33

Forecasting requires models and acceptance of out of model factors, jeremy.

Book
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Slightly Optimistic
 11 Jul '17  11:57 : 0 recs

Desperate again. Another attempt at distraction from crucial matters.
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Lord Byron
 11 Jul '17  09:50 : 0 recs

https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/BL-MBB-61486?responsive=y
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Slightly Optimistic
 11 Jul '17  08:48 : 0 recs

Another attempt at distraction from crucial matters. LB's getting desperate.
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Lord Byron
 11 Jul '17  08:44 : 0 recs

http://thisdeveloperslife.com/post/2-0-3-education

https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/superforecasting-summary/
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Slightly Optimistic
 11 Jul '17  08:39 : 0 recs

Anti Brexiters?

So much for LB's attempted distraction, and back to the refusal of the government to have the effective audit of finances that it stewards on behalf of the public. Bernanke and Rodrik make good points.

Incidentally the G20 again refused to support the accountability of trillions of public funds.
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Lord Byron
 11 Jul '17  06:27 : 0 recs

Who do you think donates to political parties ?
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Slightly Optimistic
 10 Jul '17  10:38 : 0 recs

Indeed. Ben Bernanke knows a lot [see below]

Moreover, repeat:
Harvard professor Dani Rodrik mentions the inability of the G20 to deal with global problems. The G20’s Misguided Globalism

The failure to improve financial regulation, he writes, is really "a deliberate domestic policy choice" by national government. The audit of public finances would no doubt endorse this conclusion.
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Lord Byron
 09 Jul '17  21:57 : 0 recs

Once you know enough you can spot patterns that seem universal.
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Slightly Optimistic
 09 Jul '17  17:32 : 0 recs

Ben Bernanke made an interesting speech last month about US decline - see Financial Markets forum.

On education techniques, Edward de Bono invented the world famous Lateral Thinking.
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Lord Byron
 09 Jul '17  16:21 : 0 recs : edited 1 time : last edit 09 Jul '17  16:21

Edward Thorpe advises lots of research can produce a few good heuristics.
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Slightly Optimistic
 09 Jul '17  15:39 : 0 recs

A former chair of the Fed drew our attention to signs of US decline in 1970.

This decline also hit the UK economy.

From the Financial Markets forum, 29 Jun '17 09:05:
In summary, the problems up to 1971 saw the Nixon shock when the US scrapped the early attempts at global monetary discipline. Later the new and challenging European currency was attacked - at considerable cost to UK taxpayers in 1992 [Black Wednesday]. And then we saw the resulting financial indiscipline cause the international collapse in 2008. What next - the default in 2030 mentioned in the International Trade forum [16,8,16]?

Harvard professor Dani Rodrik mentions the inability of the G20 to deal with global problems.
The G20’s Misguided Globalism

The failure to improve financial regulation, he writes, is really "a deliberate domestic policy choice" by national government. The audit of public finances would no doubt endorse this conclusion.
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Lord Byron
 09 Jul '17  14:47 : 0 recs

Nafta
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ssaines
 09 Jul '17  14:16 : 0 recs

So, the USA - UK trading deal will happen 'very, very quickly', says Trump (in his usual baby talk. Sad...)
The tabloids are buying it.

The broadsheets (or ex-broadsheets) aren't. Even the Torygraph is starting to get it. lol...The UK is like a cuckold, double-timed by itself, and living in denial to avoid the truth that everyone else sees.

The UK hasn't a clue how to negotiate a trade deal. Neither does Trump. What a match for a dalliance...
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