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Financial Markets, Subprime, & The Credit Crunch

Central banks around the world have been pumping trillions of US dollars into banking systems in an effort to keep money flowing as a result of the global financial crisis of 2008. Please use this forum to discuss the causes and implications of the current situation in the financial markets.

Note that various articles on the housing markets of the UK, USA and Australia are recorded at House Price Crash Discussion Forums
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Slightly Optimistic
 24 Jun '17  11:23 : 0 recs

Model?

"If the world order collapsed, America would probably be the last to feel it."

The New World Disorder, by the FT's Edward Luce

All eyes on Germany's G20
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Lord Byron
 24 Jun '17  09:26 : 0 recs

Model it then
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Slightly Optimistic
 21 Jun '17  15:16 : 0 recs

Moreover,

The Trump team is obsessing over Thucydides

See Europe forum 23 Mar '17 10:04, for example. China first, America first, Europe nowhere?

All eyes on Germany's G20.
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Slightly Optimistic
 21 Jun '17  05:22 : 0 recs

And?
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Lord Byron
 21 Jun '17  04:01 : 0 recs

I am going to g20
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Slightly Optimistic
 19 Jun '17  19:40 : 0 recs

The International accounting community is trying again to persuade the political G20 that national governments, spending trillions of lightly audited public money, should be accountable.

Good governance is key to stability and growth, says IFAC ahead of G20

Germany is said to be sympathetic. But many might not be; will we learn who voted against?

All eyes on Germany's G20.
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Slightly Optimistic
 06 Jun '17  08:41 : 0 recs

Such is America First.
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Lord Byron
 06 Jun '17  08:38 : 0 recs

Gas bombs lewve oil wells intact, all navy to Qatar, behold .... pro usa regime change

Iraq but with lessons learned.... evolution of oil grab, pretext....allies...naval power edge....
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Slightly Optimistic
 06 Jun '17  08:26 : 0 recs

Memories of Milosovic, who was sent to the Hague for crimes against humanity.

President Trump threatens to pull US out of UN human rights body?
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Lord Byron
 06 Jun '17  07:24 : 0 recs

Yup..... good governance is rare, very rare.
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Slightly Optimistic
 05 Jun '17  16:56 : 0 recs

Venezuela.
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Lord Byron
 05 Jun '17  12:39 : 0 recs

Yanis Varoufakis reckons rich nations sometimes seek high profits by lending to poor as they have higher potential returns than locally, maybe this is non robust thinking and just returning the money to shareholders or admitting that no good returns currently exist in the market is more robust ?

Risk vs Reward

"I work for a bank, if i screw up I keep my past salary payments and bonus but if I do not screw up I get a big bonus, after all, this is not my money I am investing eh... "

A bank is not a hedge fund but it can pretend to be says the employee ?

Looks like people either do not know what they doing or computing the risk to me.
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Slightly Optimistic
 02 Jun '17  15:33 : 0 recs : edited 1 time : last edit 02 Jun '17  15:34

A Conversation With Martin Wolf

Here we are, continued.
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cynic 09
 02 Jun '17  13:48 : 0 recs : edited 3 times : last edit 02 Jun '17  13:53

Banks had apparently been encouraged to take massive gambles for the sake of declining nations
That's a scurrilous accusation, Slightly Optimistic.

However, RBS did create credit to several multiples of UK GDP in order to write the leases by which South Korean shipyards supplied hundreds of VVVLCs to Greek and to other basket-case operators, just as the Baltic headed to a 40yr low.

On second thoughts, therefore, you may well be right.
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Slightly Optimistic
 02 Jun '17  07:50 : 0 recs : edited 1 time : last edit 02 Jun '17  07:52

It's a pity the government looks like buying off the inquiry into a bank following the 2008 crisis, cynic 09. The extent of state 'huckling' of independent audit might finally get a more public airing.

Other international and national, but less publicised, official inquiries have found that the international financial crisis in 2008 was the result of ineffective checks and balances. Banks had apparently been encouraged to take massive gambles for the sake of declining nations. To conceal this, audit had to be silenced - it claimed it was persuaded to give banks a clean bill of health long before the bail-outs became necessary. Treason and its consequences are powerful threats against an unprotected profession.

The international accounting profession pleaded with the political G20 to allow the effective audit of trillions of public expenditure, but the group said no. Here we are.
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cynic 09
 01 Jun '17  19:18 : 0 recs : edited 1 time : last edit 01 Jun '17  19:19

€100 billion at stake.
Sadly, Slightly Optimistic, the bigger the number, the bigger now is the public turnoff.

The RBS bailout cost us roughly that much and that didn't do us any harm, did it?
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Slightly Optimistic
 01 Jun '17  09:20 : 0 recs

€100 billion at stake.
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Lord Byron
 01 Jun '17  07:39 : 0 recs

Canzuk
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Slightly Optimistic
 31 May '17  16:05 : 0 recs

Repeat:
However Rodrik's impossible trinity. €100 billion at stake.
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Lord Byron
 31 May '17  15:22 : 0 recs

The LSE teach finance, maybe you should ring em up and ask their opinion ?
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